• From Guesswork to a Number You Can Trust

    • We build robust demand planning and S&OP processes that align sales, supply, and finance—boosting forecast accuracy, reducing inventory, and raising service levels.
  • What We Do

    Show off your projects, features, or clients in this section

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    Module I: Demand Planning & Forecasting

    模块一:需求计划与预测

    Core Issues / 核心议题: Forecast Accuracy(预测准确性) · Demand Shaping(需求引导) · New Product Introduction(新产品导入)
    Replacing intuition with data-driven, continuously improving forecasts.
    用数据驱动、持续优化的预测替代直觉。

    • Statistical Forecasting Engine / 统计预测引擎:
      • Deploying time-series and machine learning models to generate a statistically grounded baseline forecast by SKU/Channel/Region.
      • 部署时间序列与机器学习模型,按SKU/渠道/区域生成统计基线预测。
    • Demand Sensing & Shaping / 需求感知与引导:
      • Incorporating leading indicators(POS, promotions, macro data)to sense near-term demand changes and shape demand through pricing and promotion levers.
      • 纳入先行指标(POS、促销、宏观数据)感知短期需求变化,并通过定价与促销杠杆引导需求。
    • New Product Forecasting / 新产品预测:
      • Building look-alike models and phased launch plans to improve NPI forecast accuracy and ramp-up planning.
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    Module II: Sales & Operations Planning (S&OP) Design

    模块二:销售与运营规划(S&OP)设计

    Core Issues / 核心议题: Cross-Functional Alignment(跨部门对齐) · One Number Plan(“一套数”计划) · Governance(治理机制)
    One plan, one number—one aligned organization.
    一套计划、一套数字——一个高度对齐的组织。

    • S&OP Process Design / S&OP 流程设计:
      • Designing a robust monthly S&OP rhythm—data review, demand review, supply review, executive S&OP—with clear roles and decision gates.
      • 设计稳健的月度S&OP节奏——数据复盘、需求评审、供应评审、高层S&OP——明确角色与决策门。
    • Governance & Decision Rights / 治理与决策权:
      • Establishing S&OP steering committees, defining decision rights for trade-offs(volume vs. margin, service vs. inventory), and standardizing meeting cadence.
      • 建立S&OP指导委员会,定义权衡决策权(量 vs. 利、服务 vs. 库存),规范会议节奏。
    • One-Number Philosophy / “一套数”理念:
      • Aligning sales, operations, and finance around a single set of numbers to avoid shadow plans and conflicting KPIs.


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    Module III: Planning Process Optimization & KPIs

    模块三:计划流程优化与KPI管理

    Core Issues / 核心议题: Process Efficiency(流程效率) · KPI System(指标体系) · Root Cause Analysis(根因分析)
    Turning planning meetings from “reporting” to “solving.”
    把计划会议从“通报”变成“解决问题”。

    • KPI Framework / KPI框架:
      • Defining a balanced set of KPIs(forecast accuracy MAPE/BIAS, fill rate, inventory turns, obsolescence)and cascading them to owner roles.
      • 设计平衡的KPI组合(预测准确度 MAPE/BIAS、交付率、库存周转、呆滞)并下达到责任人。
    • Root Cause Analysis (RCA) Routine / 根因分析机制:
      • Embedding RCA cycles for forecast misses and supply gaps to drive continuous improvement in assumptions and models.
      • 将预测偏差与供应缺口的根因分析固化为例行机制,驱动假设与模型持续改进。
    • Meeting Effectiveness Improvement / 会议效能提升:
      • Redesigning agendas, pre-work packages, and decision templates to increase meeting productivity and accountability.
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    Module IV: Digital Planning & Analytics

    模块四:数字化计划与分析

    Core Issues / 核心议题: Tools & Platforms(工具与平台) · Data Integration(数据集成) · Scenario Modeling(情景建模)
    Equipping planners with the right tools for better decisions.
    为计划团队配备更优决策工具。

    • Planning Tool Selection & Implementation / 计划工具选型与实施:
      • Supporting evaluation and deployment of best-of-breed planning tools(e.g., o9, Blue Yonder, Kinaxis)and ERP-embedded modules.
      • 支持评估与部署最佳计划工具(如 o9、Blue Yonder、Kinaxis)及内嵌于ERP的模块。
    • Data Foundation & Integration / 数据基础与集成:
      • Integrating demand signals across channels, orders, shipments and external data to build a single, trusted planning data platform.
      • 打通各渠道需求信号、订单、出货与外部数据,构建单一可信的计划数据平台。
    • Scenario & What-If Modeling / 情景与What-If建模:
      • Building rapid scenario capabilities(demand upside, supply disruption, cost changes)to support executive decision-making under uncertainty.
    • Practical Planners, Not Just Framework Designers

    • We’ve run planning processes inside global manufacturers and retailers. We know where S&OP breaks down in practice—and how to fix it.

    Passion

    End-to-End Ownership / 端到端视角:

    • From demand sensing to supply allocation, we design connected processes—not isolated silos.

    Independence

    KPI-Driven Change / 以指标驱动变革:

    • Targeting tangible improvements: forecast accuracy up X%, inventory down Y%, service level up Z%.

    ool & Process Harmony / 工具与流程共振:

    • We don’t just implement tools; we align process, governance, and user adoption so tools actually get used.

    Courage

    Sustainable Capability Build / 可持续能力构建:

    • Training planners, playbooks, and center-of-excellence design to leave lasting capability after we exit.